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WHS


By Baron Kuhn

I-5 Sports


    WHS or (Walks + Hits)/Strikeouts is a way that I developed to find pitchers who may outperform last years numbers and which ones will fall on their faces. What WHS essentially does is describe how many walks or hits the pitcher gives up per strikeout. Critics of this method will argue that the stat gives an unfair bias toward strikeout pitchers and leaves at a disadvantage those who pitch to contact. Yes, it absolutely does and for good reason. When a pitcher has the ability to strikeout a lot of batters it allows him to reduce his risk. It takes factors beyond the pitchers control out of the equation. He no longer needs to rely on his team’s defense, the ballpark factor, the elements, the game is in his hands and his ability to come up with strikeouts allows risk to be lessened. Now I’m not saying that with 2 outs and the bases loaded Jered Weaver (Ks leader last season, 1.03 WHS) strikes out Batter A since his WHS was low but I am saying that it is more of a possibility than Mark Buehrle (2.98 WHS last season). In a sense WHS is a risk limiter, putting more control in the game in the pitchers hands. If a pitcher has a high chance of striking out a batter it often means he has pretty good stuff. There’s a reason the Cy Young award winners almost every year goes to a dominate strikeout machine.
    Another reason for using WHS is because in our beloved game of fantasy baseball one of the more forgotten categories (along with runs on the offensive side) is strikeouts. A lot of fantasy managers (to their own demise) tend to focus on wins and era which for the most part fluctuate from year to year. This is due to the fact that pitchers aren’t really in control of either of those stats. Take Felix Hernandez (1.14 WHS) for example, he was the Cy Young winner in the AL this past season and had only 12 wins. Put him on the Yankees (Mariners fans forgive me for this) and King Felix wins 20+ games. In the pitching world you either got it or you don’t and strikeout pitchers tend to be guys who have been making people miss since high school. I use WHS to chart growth from year to year in young pitchers and use it to find pitchers who already have the strikeout numbers but don’t quite have the other stats just yet. This season keep an eye on Brandon Morrow (1.13 WHS in 2010) and Bud Norris (1.44), two young pitchers who have the ability to rack up huge strikeout totals but haven’t yet taken that step to the next level. You can grab either of these guys pretty late in your draft based on their peripheral numbers (Morrow 10 wins, 4.49 ERA and 1.38 Whip, Norris 9 wins, 4.92 ERA and 1.48 WHIP) and should provide some great value.

(Red Triangle: Carl Pavano, Red Square: Brett Anderson)



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Tacoma, WA, United States
Not the best, not the worst, just my MLB opinion.
Questions? Send me an E-mail at ifivesports@gmail.com and I'll get right back to you.